INTRODUCTION
PURPOSE
OF THIS BOOK
The
New Iraqi Dinar (NID), introduced at a value of 2,050
NID to USD $ 1.00, caught worldwide attention and
imagination when it first came out in October 2003.
People from all walks of life believed that the currency's
value in the near term will be comparable to pre-war
levels of $ 3.22 to one Iraqi Dinar (if not more).
It gave them hope and an artificial sense of future
financial security! It was feast time for Dinar dealers!
Six years down
the road and the currency value is nowhere near $
1 USD to 1 NID (as of 30 April $ 1 USD = 1,170 NID).
Iraq is currently number 3 in the world's most dangerous
destinations, next to Somalia (where pirates abound)
and Afghanistan (where Bin Laden is residing) followed
by the Central African Republic (where you may end
up in an unmarked grave) and Pakistan (where the Taliban
is 100 km from the capital). At least that gives you
an idea. The coalition forces are starting to pull
out from Iraq. U.S. combat missions are scheduled
to end by September 2010. There is a wave of targeted
bombings once again. Concerns over the future Iraqi
political and economic stability are mounting. Will
the infant government rise up to the challenge and
steer Iraq to a prosperous future? The world is watching!
In spite of the
associated risks in Dinar investing and the uncertainty
of how the currency will turn out in the next few
years, my research revealed that many are very interested
in converting some of their hard earned dollars to
Dinars. A million Iraqi Dinars can be purchased for
about USD $ 1,000, more or less. If Iraq emerges from
the ashes and truly develops a strong economy with
lasting peace, then the currency's future value may
equal the U.S. dollar! Such is the appeal and drawing
power of this risky investment.
"Is it really
risky? Is it safe to invest? Will there be peace in
Iraq? Will the value go up soon? Will there be revaluation?"
are some of the questions asked by people in forum
sites. Nevertheless, it is business as usual at dealer
sites with sales averaging around USD $ 5,000 a day
or USD $ 150,000 monthly.
A lot of "expert" opinion has been aired,
different advice given and so many articles and fancy
charts published for and against Dinar investing.
In the middle of it all, people are more confused.
The purpose of
this book is to help you draw conclusions whether
or not the Iraqi Dinar is a worthy investment. Also,
I am sharing my thoughts, opinions, experiences and
analyses on the matter so that you will not miss out
on a potentially redeeming opportunity as I see it,
given a forthcoming global energy crisis, while at
the same time maintaining caution. After all, it is
your money at stake.
I am tired of
reading hasty generalizations, unsupported claims
or half baked conclusions. (But I do admire the intent
of opinion givers in dissuading people to plunge to
a perceived risky investment). I am enraged in reading
sales pitch comparing the Iraqi Dinar with the Kuwaiti
Dinar (KWD) where the latter rose up in value from
virtually being worthless during the Iraq invasion
to USD $ 3.65 to 1 KWD today, the highest valued currency
in the world! Maybe the Iraqi Dinar will be of the
same value in 20 years! A BIG MAYBE!
Lastly, I see a stream of curious investors with bright
eyed eagerness, naiveté or plain stubbornness
to get into the fray. I believe it is time to offer
a book of common sense with a lot of tough minded
optimism to enlighten people. The overall purpose
here is not so much to convince you that "you
too" can risk like others have done so in years
past. Rather, I have written this book to focus more
on the "how to" go about the risk, and at
level best "how much" the value should be
and "when will" those values be attained.
WHO
THIS BOOK IS FOR
When I decided
to write this book, I had three main groups of people
in mind.
The first group
is made up of investors who already have Iraqi Dinar
holdings, big or small. They are essentially the "old
timers" or the "first wave" in the
arena, committing their funds between 2003 and 2008.
Some are probably disgusted or disillusioned at the
moment while the rest, I would say are praying for
a bright Dinar future. I wanted to offer this people
hope. Perhaps after reading this book, they would
even increase their holdings in a more cautious manner.
The second group
this book was written for is made up of "new"
investors. They are the hundreds of thousands of "newbie's"
who have an idea about the Iraqi Dinar, have done
some research or so and about to plunge into the arena
this year onwards. However, they are probably in a
situation similar to standing at the edge of the cliff
either waiting for a little "push" or confidence
build-up before taking the leap. They need more information.
I intended to give them just that.
Finally, the
third group I would like to reach with this book is
the Iraqi Dinar dealers. It would be appropriate if
they themselves do the numbers and truthfully convey
to all customers all need to know information and
not hype on the Kuwaiti Dinar.
I also believe
that on the individual level, there are three types
of people; Speculators, Investors and Gamblers.
Speculators are
people who would go into an investment for the short
term, a quick turn around with expectations of good
profits. They rely not so much on information gathered
but rather on their own "gut feel". They
take "calculated risks".
Gamblers are
different. They are high risk people. They go into
an "investment" for the short term with
a "get rich quick" philosophy. Even with
lacking information they are willing to risk money
against the odds and hope for the best. Winning or
losing money is just a game that they find pleasure
in. Beating the odds is euphoria for them. They have
a high tolerance for losses and charge such losses
to experience.
Investors
are people with a wider horizon. They have an investment
mix ranging from low to high risk for the short to
long term period. They rely on all information they
can get, their own gut feel, listen to expert advice
and in some cases, employ professional services. They
have a defined set of objectives and a clear vision
where they want to go. Their main concern is capital
preservation and appreciation. |